Autonomous cars will destroy millions of jobs and reshape the US economy by 2025

May 20th, 2015 § 4 comments

Zack Kanter at Quarts on the impending
Autonomous cars revolution:

Autonomous cars will be commonplace by 2025 and have a near monopoly by 2030, and the sweeping change they bring will eclipse every other innovation our society has experienced. They will cause unprecedented job loss and a fundamental restructuring of our economy, solve large portions of our environmental problems, prevent tens of thousands of deaths per year, save millions of hours with increased productivity, and create entire new industries that we cannot even imagine from our current vantage point.

I’m not sure we will make it by 2025, there are some large hurdles to overcome, but I pretty much agree with everything else in this article. Say goodbye to car ownership, speeding tickets and parking lots.

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§ 4 Responses to Autonomous cars will destroy millions of jobs and reshape the US economy by 2025"

  • Not so fast Mr. I thought about autonomous cars and it will not be the utopia army of taxis and empty parking lots that most think of. One of the perks of owning a car is that it is a mobile lockbox. A place to secure your belongings while you freely walk around at your destination. A second perk is that it is a personal space. When you sit in your seat you will be rest assured you won’t find a wet surprise soaking into your pants. No sir. You will find more taxis, cars, buses, freight trucks, and parking lots than ever before. Auto Insurance will drop or become inclusive and it will be even more affordable to own your very own self driving car. If only I knew where to park this thing… Oh! I’ll command it to park down the street and move every 75 minutes. Sweet! I’ll buy two. ;)

  • Ben says:

    My planner buddy says road carrying capacity isn’t really so tied to behavior, meaning that if Alfred buys two cars we’ll have even more traffic jams, not fewer.

  • Yes things will change much like we don’t see 6+ tellers at the counter anymore now that the ATM is ubiquitous but the words used in the article really yell “Segway” to me.
    Here’s some click bait to cool you guys down http://www.csmonitor.com/Technology/2013/1019/Inventions-that-were-going-to-change-the-world-but-didn-t/The-Segway
    So yeah, ATMs are cool. I don’t wait in line as much. I expect my review for autonomous cars will sound pretty much the same. A better technology would be to save a trip in the car to begin with. Technology such as SquareCash or Google Wallet that saves me a car trip to the ATM, Amazon shipping with quadcopters, or going to work via a telepresence. Eliminating the car ride all together is the true goal here.

    • Thomas Paine says:

      Nobody ever looked at a Segway and “cool”. Lots of “neat-o” and “gee-whiz” but not “cool”. ;-)

      Okay I’m being facetious but the point is that the Segway has always been a nerdy idea that only nerds thought would take off. Everybody loves the idea of cars driving themselves. I don’t even think you disagree that cars will eventually drive themselves, your skepticism is not with the technology but with the fallout from that technology. Autonomous cars are coming, but what will the world look like shortly afterwards? Will people own cars?

      Currently the easiest way to get most places is by car (NYC aside), and the most practical way to use a car is to own one. If the most practical way to use a car is to pull out your phone and request one owned by Uber I believe that car ownership will die. Of course there will be those that hold on to their car, a few people still use Blackberries after all, but it will be a generational thing and only people over a certain age will own cars.

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